A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Gustavo Heide goes up against Thiago Monteiro in the Porto 2 quarterfinal. Gustavo Heide is 6-4 across recent matches. Thiago Monteiro comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Heide.