Hamad Medjedovic and Thiago Agustin Tirante meet in the first round at Shanghai on Thursday. Thiago Agustin Tirante is 6-4 across recent matches. Hamad Medjedovic is 4-6 across recent matches.

Thiago Agustin Tirante is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Tirante around 56%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Tirante fractionally more likely to land the big points.