Friday brings the French Open final: Harmony Tan against Linda Fruhvirtova. Harmony Tan comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Linda Fruhvirtova limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Harmony Tan is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Tan around 57%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Tan fractionally more likely to land the big points.