Wednesday's Rovereto round of 16 pits Harmony Tan against Lucrezia Stefanini on clay. Lucrezia Stefanini comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Harmony Tan is 4-6 across recent matches.
Lucrezia Stefanini is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Stefanini around 55%. Stefanini comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Stefanini gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Harmony Tan | Lucrezia Stefanini |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 56.6% | 74.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 61.2% | 55.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 44.6% | 44% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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