Harold Mayot won 6-3 4-6 7-5
Nailed it. We had Harold Mayot at 54% before the match, and Harold Mayot won 6-3 4-6 7-5.
Harold Mayot and Jesper De Jong meet in the quarterfinal at St. Tropez on Friday. Harold Mayot is 8-2 across recent matches. Jesper De Jong is rolling — 3 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play.
Harold Mayot is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Mayot around 54%. Mayot comes in off a compressed schedule; Jong arrives with very little recovery time. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Mayot fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Harold Mayot | Jesper De Jong |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 61.5% | 57.1% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.4% | 72.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50.3% | 48% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.