It all comes down to Sunday at Guangzhou, where Harriet Dart faces Lilli Tagger for the trophy. Lilli Tagger is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play. Harriet Dart brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Tagger has been winning 67.3% of first-serve points to Dart's 64%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Dart comes in off a compressed schedule; Tagger comes in off a compressed schedule. Tagger should have enough here, though Dart has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Harriet Dart | Lilli Tagger |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 55.7% | 66.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 64% | 67.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 44.2% | 47.8% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
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