A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Harry Wendelken goes up against Joel Schwaerzler in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif round of 16. Joel Schwaerzler comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Harry Wendelken is 2-8 across recent matches.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Schwaerzler is exactly that — a lean.