Trieste · SF · Clay · best of 3 · Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Henri Squire vs. Matej Dodig — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 11, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

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Matej Dodig won 6-4 3-6 6-3 · Jul 11, 2026, 2:31 PM UTC

This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 55% on Matej Dodig, who won 6-4 3-6 6-3.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Henri Squire goes up against Matej Dodig in the Trieste semifinal. Matej Dodig is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Henri Squire brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Matej Dodig is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Dodig around 55%. Squire comes in off a compressed schedule; Dodig arrives with very little recovery time. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Dodig is exactly that — a lean.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Henri Squire

1633

Matej Dodig

1725

Overall rating

Henri Squire

1639

Matej Dodig

1668

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Henri Squire	Matej Dodig
1st serve in	68.8%	63%
1st serve points won	70.5%	70.5%
2nd serve points won	46.8%	49.1%

Form

Henri Squire

7–3

Matej Dodig

7–3

Head to head

The head-to-head is level at 0-0.

Full Squire vs Dodig history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Henri Squire vs Matej Dodig at Trieste?: Matej Dodig won 6-4 3-6 6-3.
Was the Henri Squire vs Matej Dodig prediction correct?: This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 55% on Matej Dodig, who won 6-4 3-6 6-3.
What is the head-to-head record between Henri Squire and Matej Dodig?: The head-to-head is level at 0-0.