Trieste · SF · Clay · best of 3 · Jul 11, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Henri Squire vs. Matej Dodig — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 11, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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Result

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Matej Dodig won 6-4 3-6 6-3

This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 55% on Matej Dodig, who won 6-4 3-6 6-3.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Henri Squire goes up against Matej Dodig in the Trieste semifinal. Matej Dodig is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Henri Squire brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Squire comes in off a compressed schedule; Dodig arrives with very little recovery time. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Dodig is exactly that — a lean.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Henri Squire

1645

Matej Dodig

1661

Overall rating

Henri Squire

1651

Matej Dodig

1654

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Henri Squire	Matej Dodig
1st serve in	68.8%	63%
1st serve points won	70.5%	70.5%
2nd serve points won	46.8%	49.1%

Form

Henri Squire

7–3

Matej Dodig

7–3

Head to head

The head-to-head is level at 0-0.

Full Squire vs Dodig history →

The rest of the numbers

This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Henri Squire vs Matej Dodig at Trieste?: Matej Dodig won 6-4 3-6 6-3.
Was the Henri Squire vs Matej Dodig prediction correct?: This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 55% on Matej Dodig, who won 6-4 3-6 6-3.
What is the head-to-head record between Henri Squire and Matej Dodig?: The head-to-head is level at 0-0.