Henri Squire and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida meet in the round of 16 at Bonn on Thursday. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is 8-2 across recent matches. Henri Squire is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Almeida is exactly that — a lean.