Saturday's Porto semifinal pits Henrique Rocha against Jerome Kym on hard. Jerome Kym has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Henrique Rocha is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play.
The serve is where this match separates: Kym has been winning 74.8% of first-serve points to Rocha's 67%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Rocha comes in off a compressed schedule; Kym comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Kym fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Henrique Rocha | Jerome Kym |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.1% | 62.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 67% | 74.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50.6% | 49.9% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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