Thursday's Porto round of 16 pits Henrique Rocha against Mili Poljicak on hard. Henrique Rocha has won 4 of the last 10. Mili Poljicak comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Henrique Rocha simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Rocha — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.