Henry Searle won 7-6 2-6 6-4
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 65% on Liam Draxl; Henry Searle won 7-6 2-6 6-4.
Wednesday's San Diego 2 (Usa) round of 16 pits Henry Searle against Liam Draxl on hard. Liam Draxl is 6-4 across recent matches. Henry Searle limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 7 wins in 10.
Liam Draxl simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Searle comes in off a compressed schedule; Draxl comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Draxl.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Henry Searle | Liam Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 61.6% | 65.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 71.4% | 68.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50% | 47.5% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.