Tuesday's Buenos Aires 3 round of 32 pits Hernan Casanova against Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco on clay. Hernan Casanova limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has dropped 5 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.

Hernan Casanova is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Casanova around 61%. The edge belongs to Casanova — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.