Hiroki Moriya and Keegan Smith meet in the round of 32 at Wuning 3 (China) on Tuesday. Keegan Smith has won 5 of the last 10. Hiroki Moriya has dropped 4 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Smith has been winning 70.1% of first-serve points to Moriya's 63.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Smith — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.