Hiroki Moriya and Maximus Jones meet in the round of 16 at Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) on Wednesday. Maximus Jones has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Hiroki Moriya has dropped 4 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Jones has been winning 70.6% of first-serve points to Moriya's 63.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Jones comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Jones is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Hiroki Moriya | Maximus Jones |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.3% | 58.9% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.3% | 70.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.7% | 48.1% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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