Brussels · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 19, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC · Cancelled
Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · October 19, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Holger Rune and Raphael Collignon meet in the round of 32 at Brussels on Monday. Holger Rune has dropped 2 straight and sits at 7-3 over the last ten. Raphael Collignon is searching for form, having lost 6 in a row (4 of the last 10).
Holger Rune is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Rune around 53%. Little separates them; Rune gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-113(53.1% Rune)
Market-145(59.2% Rune)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Holger Rune
1887
Raphael Collignon
1802
Overall rating
Holger Rune
1907
Raphael Collignon
1863
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Holger Rune
Raphael Collignon
1st serve in
60.8%
62.9%
1st serve points won
70.7%
72.7%
2nd serve points won
51.7%
45.9%
Form
Holger Rune
7–3
Raphael Collignon
4–6
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Holger Rune vs Raphael Collignon?
Maiden gives Holger Rune a 53% chance to beat Raphael Collignon in the Brussels round of 32 on October 19, 2026.
How confident is the Holger Rune pick?
53% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 53%, picks in that range have won 56% of the time (441 so far). See the track record page for the full table.