A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Holger Rune goes up against Valentin Vacherot in the Basel quarterfinal. Valentin Vacherot has won 7 of the last 10. Holger Rune comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Valentin Vacherot is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Vacherot around 51%. Little separates them; Vacherot gets the nod on the finest of margins.