A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Hubert Hurkacz goes up against James Duckworth in the Shanghai first round. Hubert Hurkacz has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. James Duckworth is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (6 of the last 10).
The serve is where this match separates: Hurkacz has been winning 75.9% of first-serve points to Duckworth's 72.2%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Hurkacz — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Hubert Hurkacz | James Duckworth |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 63.2% | 56.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 75.9% | 72.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.3% | 50.3% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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