Hubert Hurkacz and Jan Lennard Struff meet in the round of 16 at Wimbledon on Sunday. Hubert Hurkacz has won 5 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Jan Lennard Struff has won 5 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.
They have split their 4 previous meetings evenly at 2-2. On grass specifically it reads 1-0 Struff — worth more than the overall number this week.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Hurkacz.