Hubert Hurkacz and Karen Khachanov meet in the quarterfinal at Beijing on Sunday. Hubert Hurkacz has won 8 of the last 10. Karen Khachanov has won 6 of the last 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Hurkacz has been winning 75.9% of first-serve points to Khachanov's 72%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Hurkacz gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Hubert Hurkacz | Karen Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 63.2% | 62.9% |
| 1st serve points won | 75.9% | 72% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.3% | 51.4% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.