Tommy Paul won 6-4 6-7 6-3
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 56% on Tommy Paul, who won 6-4 6-7 6-3.
Saturday's Cincinnati round of 64 pits Hubert Hurkacz against Tommy Paul on hard. Tommy Paul comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Hubert Hurkacz is 6-4 across recent matches.
Tommy Paul is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Paul around 56%. Hurkacz comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Paul gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Hubert Hurkacz | Tommy Paul |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 63.2% | 61.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 76% | 69.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.4% | 51.1% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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