Hubert Hurkacz and Yi Zhou meet in the round of 32 at Shanghai on Sunday. Hubert Hurkacz is rolling — 5 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Yi Zhou is 5-5 across recent matches.
Hold strength tells the story — 75.9% versus 71.7% on first-serve points in Hurkacz's favor. If Hurkacz plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-480(82.8% Hurkacz)
Market-519(83.8% Hurkacz)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Hubert Hurkacz
1952
Yi Zhou
1590
Overall rating
Hubert Hurkacz
2005
Yi Zhou
1588
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Hubert Hurkacz
Yi Zhou
1st serve in
63.2%
61.4%
1st serve points won
75.9%
71.7%
2nd serve points won
49.3%
48.8%
Form
Hubert Hurkacz
9–1
Yi Zhou
5–5
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Who is predicted to win Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou?
Maiden gives Hubert Hurkacz a 83% chance to beat Yi Zhou in the Shanghai round of 32 on October 11, 2026.
How confident is the Hubert Hurkacz pick?
83% is a “Strong” tier pick. When we make a pick around 83%, picks in that range have won 80% of the time (64 so far). See the track record page for the full table.