A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Hugo Dellien goes up against Manuel La Serna Juan in the Santa Cruz 2 semifinal. Hugo Dellien brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Manuel La Serna Juan is 6-4 across recent matches.

Hugo Dellien is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Dellien around 69%. Dellien comes in off a compressed schedule; Juan comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Dellien.