It all comes down to Sunday at Trieste, where Hugo Dellien faces Matej Dodig for the trophy. Matej Dodig has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Hugo Dellien has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.
There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.
Hold strength tells the story — 70.5% versus 62.5% on first-serve points in Dodig's favor. Dellien comes in off a compressed schedule; Dodig comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Dodig is exactly that — a lean.