Saturday's Guayaquil semifinal pits Hugo Dellien against Valerio Aboian on clay. Hugo Dellien is rolling — 3 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Valerio Aboian has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.

Hugo Dellien simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Dellien comes in off a compressed schedule; Aboian arrives with very little recovery time. The edge belongs to Dellien — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.