Tuesday's Brussels round of 32 pits Hugo Gaston against Jacob Fearnley on hard. Jacob Fearnley has won 5 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Hugo Gaston comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Fearnley has been winning 71.8% of first-serve points to Gaston's 65.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Fearnley is exactly that — a lean.