Hugo Gaston won 4-6 7-6 6-4
Missed it. We had Jaime Faria at 56%, but Hugo Gaston won 4-6 7-6 6-4.
Friday's Hangzhou round of 16 pits Hugo Gaston against Jaime Faria on hard. Jaime Faria has won 6 of the last 10. Hugo Gaston limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Faria has been winning 71.1% of first-serve points to Gaston's 65.7%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Faria is exactly that — a lean.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Hugo Gaston | Jaime Faria |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 56.8% | 57.9% |
| 1st serve points won | 65.7% | 71.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50.6% | 47.7% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.