A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Hugo Gaston goes up against Karen Khachanov in the Hamburg round of 32. Karen Khachanov comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Hugo Gaston has dropped 4 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten.
Karen Khachanov leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Khachanov — worth more than the overall number this week.
The serve is where this match separates: Khachanov has been winning 72.1% of first-serve points to Gaston's 65.7%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. If Khachanov plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.