A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Hugo Gaston goes up against Luca Van Assche in the Estoril semifinal. Luca Van Assche comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Hugo Gaston has won 5 of the last 10.
Luca Van Assche leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Assche — worth more than the overall number this week.
Luca Van Assche is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Assche around 61%. The edge belongs to Assche — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Hugo Gaston | Luca Van Assche |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 56.7% | 61.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 66.3% | 67.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50.7% | 49.9% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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