Estoril · SF · Clay · best of 3 · Jul 25, 2026, 4:40 PM UTC

Hugo Gaston vs. Luca Van Assche — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 25, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✓ Pick right

Luca Van Assche won 6-4 7-5

Nailed it. We had Luca Van Assche at 61% before the match, and Luca Van Assche won 6-4 7-5.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Hugo Gaston goes up against Luca Van Assche in the Estoril semifinal. Luca Van Assche comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Hugo Gaston has won 5 of the last 10.

Luca Van Assche leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Assche — worth more than the overall number this week.

Luca Van Assche is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Assche around 61%. The edge belongs to Assche — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Hugo Gaston

1655

Luca Van Assche

1858

Overall rating

Hugo Gaston

1713

Luca Van Assche

1907

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Hugo Gaston	Luca Van Assche
1st serve in	56.7%	61.4%
1st serve points won	66.3%	67.6%
2nd serve points won	50.7%	49.9%

Form

Hugo Gaston

5–5

Luca Van Assche

8–2

Head to head

Luca Van Assche leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Luca Van Assche.

Full Gaston vs Assche history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Assche at Estoril?: Luca Van Assche won 6-4 7-5.
Was the Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Assche prediction correct?: Nailed it. We had Luca Van Assche at 61% before the match, and Luca Van Assche won 6-4 7-5.
What is the head-to-head record between Hugo Gaston and Luca Van Assche?: Luca Van Assche leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Luca Van Assche.