A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Hugo Grenier goes up against Sebastian Baez in the Winston-Salem round of 32. Sebastian Baez comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Hugo Grenier has won 4 of the last 10.
Sebastian Baez is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Baez around 68%. Grenier comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Baez.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Hugo Grenier | Sebastian Baez |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.2% | 72.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 71.3% | 64.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.4% | 51.4% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.