Tuesday's Szczecin round of 32 pits Hynek Barton against Raul Brancaccio on clay. Hynek Barton limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. Raul Brancaccio has won 4 of the last 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Barton has been winning 71% of first-serve points to Brancaccio's 66.5%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Barton is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Hynek Barton | Raul Brancaccio |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 57.9% | 61.9% |
| 1st serve points won | 71% | 66.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.9% | 48.4% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.