Ningbo · R16 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 21, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC · Cancelled
Iga Swiatek vs Marie Bouzkova — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · October 21, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Wednesday's Ningbo round of 16 pits Iga Swiatek against Marie Bouzkova on hard. Iga Swiatek comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Marie Bouzkova has won 6 of the last 10.
Iga Swiatek simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. If Swiatek plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-265(72.6% Swiatek)
Market-276(73.4% Swiatek)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Iga Swiatek
2034
Marie Bouzkova
1808
Overall rating
Iga Swiatek
2077
Marie Bouzkova
1905
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Iga Swiatek
Marie Bouzkova
1st serve in
63.4%
66.5%
1st serve points won
63.8%
61.9%
2nd serve points won
48.3%
44.7%
Form
Iga Swiatek
7–3
Marie Bouzkova
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Iga Swiatek vs Marie Bouzkova?
Maiden gives Iga Swiatek a 73% chance to beat Marie Bouzkova in the Ningbo round of 16 on October 21, 2026.
How confident is the Iga Swiatek pick?
73% is a “Strong” tier pick. When we make a pick around 73%, picks in that range have won 71% of the time (97 so far). See the track record page for the full table.