Iga Swiatek and Marta Kostyuk meet in the round of 16 at French Open on Sunday. Iga Swiatek has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Marta Kostyuk has won 7 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall.

Iga Swiatek has had the better of this rivalry, winning 4 of 5 against Marta Kostyuk. On clay they're dead even at 1-1 — worth more than the overall number this week.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Swiatek.