Toronto · R16 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 8, 2026, 4:40 PM UTC

Iga Swiatek vs. Marta Kostyuk — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · August 8, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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Result

✓ Pick right

Iga Swiatek won 3-6 6-1 6-2

Nailed it. We had Iga Swiatek at 53% before the match, and Iga Swiatek won 3-6 6-1 6-2.

Iga Swiatek and Marta Kostyuk meet in the round of 16 at Toronto on Saturday. Iga Swiatek has won 7 of the last 10. Marta Kostyuk comes in at 8 wins from the last ten.

Iga Swiatek leads the head-to-head 4-1, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On hard specifically it reads 3-0 Swiatek — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Swiatek gets the nod on the finest of margins.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Iga Swiatek

2075

Marta Kostyuk

1954

Overall rating

Iga Swiatek

2105

Marta Kostyuk

2090

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Iga Swiatek	Marta Kostyuk
1st serve in	62.8%	59.6%
1st serve points won	64.3%	63.4%
2nd serve points won	48.5%	43.2%

Form

Iga Swiatek

7–3

Marta Kostyuk

8–2

Head to head

Iga Swiatek leads the head-to-head 4-1. On hard: 3-0 Iga Swiatek.

Full Swiatek vs Kostyuk history →

The rest of the numbers

This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.

What Pro unlocks

Frequently asked questions

Who won Iga Swiatek vs Marta Kostyuk at Toronto?: Iga Swiatek won 3-6 6-1 6-2.
Was the Iga Swiatek vs Marta Kostyuk prediction correct?: Nailed it. We had Iga Swiatek at 53% before the match, and Iga Swiatek won 3-6 6-1 6-2.
What is the head-to-head record between Iga Swiatek and Marta Kostyuk?: Iga Swiatek leads the head-to-head 4-1. On hard: 3-0 Iga Swiatek.