A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Iga Swiatek goes up against Qinwen Zheng in the US Open round of 16. Iga Swiatek is rolling — 3 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Qinwen Zheng is rolling — 3 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play.
Iga Swiatek is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Swiatek around 66%. The edge belongs to Swiatek — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Iga Swiatek | Qinwen Zheng |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 63.4% | 53.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.7% | 72.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.4% | 45.2% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
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