A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Iga Swiatek goes up against Viktorija Golubic in the Toronto round of 32. Iga Swiatek has won 7 of the last 10. Viktorija Golubic comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Swiatek has been winning 64.3% of first-serve points to Golubic's 58%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. If Swiatek plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Iga Swiatek | Viktorija Golubic |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.8% | 67.9% |
| 1st serve points won | 64.3% | 58% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.5% | 45.7% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.