Hamburg · F · Clay · best of 3 · May 23, 2026, 2:40 PM UTC

Ignacio Buse vs. Tommy Paul — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 23, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

Share result

Result

✓ Pick right

Ignacio Buse won 7-6 4-6 6-3 · May 23, 2026, 5:47 PM UTC

We got this one right. Ignacio Buse was our 54% pick, and won 7-6 4-6 6-3.

The Hamburg title is on the line on Saturday, when Ignacio Buse meets Tommy Paul. Ignacio Buse has won 6 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Tommy Paul has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.

The ledger favors Ignacio Buse, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Tommy Paul. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Buse — worth more than the overall number this week.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Buse comes in off a compressed schedule; Paul comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Buse is exactly that — a lean.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Ignacio Buse

1825

Tommy Paul

1900

Overall rating

Ignacio Buse

1881

Tommy Paul

1936

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Ignacio Buse	Tommy Paul
1st serve in	60.8%	61.9%
1st serve points won	71.2%	69.7%
2nd serve points won	49.6%	50.8%

Form

Ignacio Buse

7–3

Tommy Paul

7–3

Head to head

Ignacio Buse leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Ignacio Buse.

Full Buse vs Paul history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul at Hamburg?: Ignacio Buse won 7-6 4-6 6-3.
Was the Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul prediction correct?: We got this one right. Ignacio Buse was our 54% pick, and won 7-6 4-6 6-3.
What is the head-to-head record between Ignacio Buse and Tommy Paul?: Ignacio Buse leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Ignacio Buse.