Wednesday's Iasi round of 16 pits Ilia Simakin against Lautaro Midon on clay. Ilia Simakin comes in at 2 wins from the last ten. Lautaro Midon comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.
The serve is where this match separates: Simakin has been winning 70.9% of first-serve points to Midon's 63.9%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Simakin comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Simakin gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Ilia Simakin | Lautaro Midon |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 61.2% | 58.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.9% | 63.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50.8% | 48.5% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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