Ilia Simakin and Martin Landaluce meet in the round of 32 at Jinan on Tuesday. Martin Landaluce comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Ilia Simakin is 8-2 across recent matches.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Landaluce is exactly that — a lean.