Who is predicted to win Ilya Ivashka vs Maximus Jones?

Maiden gives Ilya Ivashka a 57% chance to beat Maximus Jones in the Pozoblanco round of 32 on July 14, 2026.

How confident is the Ilya Ivashka pick?

57% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 57%, picks in that range have won 61% of the time (140 so far). See the track record page for the full table.

Maiden.bet

Pozoblanco · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Jul 14, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC

Ilya Ivashka vs. Maximus Jones — preview and prediction

By The Maiden Desk · July 14, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Maiden's pick: Ivashka (57%) over Jones.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Ilya Ivashka goes up against Maximus Jones in the Pozoblanco round of 32. Ilya Ivashka has won 6 of the last 10. Maximus Jones comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Ivashka gets the nod on the finest of margins.

The numbers behind the pick

Win probability & fair price

Maiden -134 (57.3% Ivashka)

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Ilya Ivashka

1668

Maximus Jones

1487

Overall rating

Ilya Ivashka

1647

Maximus Jones

1488

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Ilya Ivashka	Maximus Jones
1st serve in	62.8%	58.3%
1st serve points won	69.7%	69.9%
2nd serve points won	48.5%	46.2%

Form

Ilya Ivashka

6–4

Maximus Jones

4–6

Head to head

The head-to-head is level at 0-0.

Full Ivashka vs Jones history →

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Ilya Ivashka vs Maximus Jones?: Maiden gives Ilya Ivashka a 57% chance to beat Maximus Jones in the Pozoblanco round of 32 on July 14, 2026.
How confident is the Ilya Ivashka pick?: 57% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 57%, picks in that range have won 61% of the time (140 so far). See the track record page for the full table.
What is the head-to-head record between Ilya Ivashka and Maximus Jones?: The head-to-head is level at 0-0.

Ivashka chance to win	57%
Fair price (the odds our % works out to)	-134
Most likely score	2-0 (35%)
Desk record on hard this season	56% over 48 matches
Our picks at 55-60% confidence	86-54 (61%)