Friday's Shanghai quarterfinal pits Ilya Ivashka against Yi Zhou on hard. Ilya Ivashka comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Yi Zhou has won 5 of the last 10.

Ilya Ivashka simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Ivashka comes in off a compressed schedule; Zhou comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Ivashka is exactly that — a lean.