Monday's Beijing round of 32 pits Iva Jovic against Kamilla Rakhimova on hard. Iva Jovic has won 4 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Kamilla Rakhimova has won 6 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Jovic arrives with very little recovery time; Rakhimova comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Jovic — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.