Thursday's Guadalajara quarterfinal pits Iva Jovic against Magdalena Frech on hard. Iva Jovic is 6-4 across recent matches. Magdalena Frech has won 6 of the last 10.

Iva Jovic simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Jovic.