Iva Jovic and Magdalena Frech meet in the first round at US Open on Wednesday. Iva Jovic has won 6 of the last 10. Magdalena Frech is 4-6 across recent matches.

Iva Jovic is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Jovic around 54%. Little separates them; Jovic gets the nod on the finest of margins.