Wednesday's Guadalajara round of 16 pits Iva Jovic against Zeynep Sonmez on hard. Iva Jovic is 6-4 across recent matches. Zeynep Sonmez limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.

Iva Jovic is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Jovic around 66%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Jovic.