Villena · R16 · Clay · best of 3 · Oct 8, 2026, 10:10 AM UTC
Jack Pinnington Jones vs Joel Schwaerzler — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 8, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✗ Pick wrong
Jack Pinnington Jones won 6-1 6-3
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 54% on Joel Schwaerzler; Jack Pinnington Jones won 6-1 6-3.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Jack Pinnington Jones goes up against Joel Schwaerzler in the Villena round of 16. Joel Schwaerzler comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Jack Pinnington Jones has won 4 of the last 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Jones comes in off a compressed schedule; Schwaerzler comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Schwaerzler is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Jack Pinnington Jones
1660
Joel Schwaerzler
1601
Overall rating
Jack Pinnington Jones
1690
Joel Schwaerzler
1682
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Jack Pinnington Jones
Joel Schwaerzler
1st serve in
61.6%
60.5%
1st serve points won
70.5%
70.5%
2nd serve points won
45.4%
51.9%
Form
Jack Pinnington Jones
4–6
Joel Schwaerzler
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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