A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Jacob Fearnley goes up against Maxim Mrva in the Olbia quarterfinal. Jacob Fearnley has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Maxim Mrva comes in at 8 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Fearnley has been winning 71.8% of first-serve points to Mrva's 63.7%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Fearnley comes in off a compressed schedule; Mrva comes in off a compressed schedule. Fearnley should have enough here, though Mrva has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Jacob Fearnley | Maxim Mrva |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 61% | 56% |
| 1st serve points won | 71.8% | 63.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.9% | 46.1% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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