James Duckworth and Lorenzo Sonego meet in the round of 32 at Chengdu on Thursday. Lorenzo Sonego limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. James Duckworth has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten.

Lorenzo Sonego is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Sonego around 53%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Sonego fractionally more likely to land the big points.