James Duckworth and Matteo Arnaldi meet in the first round at US Open on Monday. James Duckworth has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Matteo Arnaldi is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (5 of the last 10).
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Duckworth fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | James Duckworth | Matteo Arnaldi |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 56.7% | 58.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 72.3% | 70% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50.3% | 50.2% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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