Wednesday's Hertogenbosch round of 32 pits James Mccabe against Zizou Bergs on grass. Zizou Bergs has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. James Mccabe comes in at 2 wins from the last ten.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on grass, and our number follows from it. Mccabe needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.